When oil prices move 60% in ten weeks, the planning conversation changes. Canadian energy stocks have been among the strongest performers on the TSX since the Hormuz closure began on March 4, with integrated producers like Suncor Energy and Canadian Natural Resources delivering substantial unrealized gains to clients who held or added energy exposure in the early weeks of the conflict. For clients sitting on those gains outside registered accounts, a tax planning window is open that most advisors have not yet addressed explicitly.

The starting point is the capital gains inclusion rate. After months of uncertainty, the Carney government cancelled the proposed increase to 66.67% in March 2025, and the rate for individuals remains at 50%. That means a client who realizes a $100,000 capital gain on an energy stock today includes $50,000 in taxable income. For a client in Ontario at the top marginal rate of approximately 53.53%, the federal-provincial tax on that gain is roughly $26,765. That calculation does not change at the end of this calendar year under current law.

The TFSA as the First Conversation

The most immediate planning tool available to most clients is the Tax-Free Savings Account. The 2026 annual limit is $7,000, unchanged from 2024 and 2025. Cumulative room for a Canadian who has been eligible since the TFSA's inception in 2009 and has never contributed now stands at $102,000. The planning move that most advisors are not making is this: for clients who hold appreciated energy names in a taxable account and have significant TFSA room available, the question is not just "should we realize these gains" but "where does the next dollar of energy exposure live?"

A client who sells appreciated energy units in a taxable account, realizes the gain at the 50% inclusion rate, and then contributes the proceeds to a TFSA to repurchase the position has converted future growth on those assets to permanently tax-free status. The cost is the current tax on the realized gain. The benefit is that all future appreciation, dividends, and income on those assets inside the TFSA are never taxed again, including on withdrawal. For clients who believe the energy thesis has further to run through the Hormuz disruption, this is not a call to exit energy. It is a call to ensure that the next leg of appreciation accrues inside the right account.

The chart above shows the TFSA cumulative room available by year of first eligibility, illustrating the magnitude of the opportunity for clients who have not maximized contributions.

TFSA CUMULATIVE CONTRIBUTION ROOM — BY FIRST ELIGIBILITY YEAR $102,000 ▲ Max room (eligible since 2009) As of Jan 1, 2026  |  CRA
Source: Canada Revenue Agency, TFSA contribution limits 2009-2026. Room shown assumes zero prior contributions and full eligibility in each year.  |  hdq.ca

A client eligible since 2009 who has never contributed has $102,000 of TFSA room available as of January 1, 2026. Even partial use of that room to shelter energy-driven appreciation materially changes the long-run tax profile of the portfolio.

RRSP Room and the Income Interaction

The second account-type question involves RRSP room. The 2026 RRSP contribution limit is $33,810, based on 18% of 2025 earned income up to that ceiling. For clients who have not maximized RRSP contributions, the interaction with energy-sector income this year has two dimensions.

First, clients who hold energy names that pay elevated dividends inside a taxable account are generating additional taxable income in 2026. That income creates RRSP room for the following year, but it also means their 2026 marginal rate calculation for any capital gain realization will be higher than in a normal year. Sequencing matters: advisors who discuss RRSP contributions before advising on whether to realize energy gains in a taxable account are giving their clients a more complete picture.

Second, clients who hold energy positions inside an RRSP benefit from the full pre-tax compounding of the position but will pay full marginal rates on withdrawal. For clients in or near retirement, the question of whether to hold high-growth energy names inside the RRSP or inside the TFSA depends on whether they expect to be in a lower or higher marginal rate bracket at withdrawal. The Hormuz-driven appreciation makes this a live question for clients who were carrying energy positions in the wrong account type for their retirement income plan.

The Corporate Account Dimension

For incorporated clients, the capital gains inclusion rate applies to all gains realized by the corporation at 66.67%, not the 50% rate available to individuals on the first $250,000 of annual gains. That asymmetry, which has been in place since January 1, 2026, means incorporated business owners holding appreciated energy positions in a Canadian-controlled private corporation pay a materially higher effective rate on realization than individual clients. The Capital Dividend Account mechanism provides a partial offset, but the planning conversation for incorporated clients is distinct from the individual client analysis and should not be conflated with it.