HDQ
Vol. 1  ·  No. 701
AllMarketGeopoliticalEconomyTax & WealthBehaviouralDaily Thread
Weekend Edition Desk
Recent — Weekend Edition
Weekend Edition The Week the Same Barrel of Oil Split the BoC From the Fed and the TSX From Its Own Energy Sector
The Bank of Canada held for a seventh straight decision while Fed hike odds climbed past seventy per cent, both reacting to the same barrel of oil that also pulled the TSX to a six-week low even as Canadian energy names rallied around it.
Sep 12 7 min
Weekend Edition The Week the Bank of Canada, a War, and the Fed Could Not Move Canadian Yields. A Jobs Report Did.
A four-session trading week, Labour Day closed markets Monday, produced a war escalation, a hawkish Bank of Canada hold, and a dovish Fed comment, and none of it moved the Government of Canada 10-year yield. A single domestic jobs report did what all three could not.
Sep 5 7 min
Weekend Edition Canada Had Its Best Economic Week in Years. The TSX Still Closed Lower.
A GDP beat erased the recession debate and bank earnings set a record Tuesday. Neither survived contact with Kevin Warsh's first Jackson Hole speech.
Aug 29 7 min
Weekend Edition Washington Tried to Cap Its Borrowing Costs This Week. Gold Believed It. Bonds Did Not.
A Treasury bond buyback reversed within 24 hours, yet gold kept the gain it produced, oil rallied on a separate Hormuz story, and the loonie strengthened for a third straight week ahead of Warsh's August 28 Jackson Hole debut and the Bank of Canada's September 2 decision.
Aug 22 8 min
Weekend Edition The TSX and Gold Both Set Records This Week. That Should Not Happen Together.
A blowout jobs report pushed Canadian equities to a fresh high. A widening Iran conflict pushed oil and gold to their own. Friday's US retail sales miss cracked one of those stories without touching the other.
Aug 15 7 min
Weekend Edition Gold and Oil Just Split Ways for the First Time Since the War Began
A blowout Canadian jobs report and a shock US payrolls miss sent the TSX and S&P 500 to record highs this week, pushed gold to a two-month high, and knocked Brent crude down more than 7%, even as the Strait of Hormuz shipping deal stayed stalled in Iran's parliament.
Aug 8 7 min
Weekend Edition The Civic Holiday: Canada's Most Improvised Long Weekend, and a Market on Pause
No single law created it and no single name describes it. On the day markets close for Civic Holiday, a look at how a nineteenth century municipal habit became a coast to coast tradition, and where the TSX stood heading into the break.
Aug 3 3 min
Weekend Edition Hormuz Traffic Collapsed to Five Ships Friday. The TSX Sold Off for a Different Reason Entirely.
A week spent showing Hormuz traffic recovering and the Bank of Canada holding steady ended with tanker strikes, a 19-year Treasury yield high, and a TSX decline that tracked neither.
Aug 1 8 min
Weekend Edition Oil Surged Nine Percent This Week. The Canadian Dollar Fell Anyway, and September Explains Why.
Between Wednesday's TSX record and Friday's oil reversal, a bigger story took shape: the Federal Reserve and the Bank of Canada are now pulling in opposite directions, and a fifty percent tariff lands in the gap between their next two decisions.
Jul 25 8 min
View full Weekend Edition archive →

Membership is permanently capped. Admitted by nomination only. Waiting list →