BOC OVERNIGHT RATE VS GOC 10Y YIELD 3.74% ▲ +34BPS SINCE JUN 1 WEEKLY  |  JUN 1 TO AUG 20, 2026

Source: Bank of Canada, TradingEconomics Canada 10Y bond yield data, Aug 2026.  |  hdq.ca

CANADA CPI, HEADLINE VS CORE 3.0% ▲ UP FROM 2.8% IN JUNE MONTHLY  |  JUNE TO JULY 2026

Source: Statistics Canada, Consumer Price Index, July 2026.  |  hdq.ca

CANADA CPI: YEAR OVER YEAR 3.0% ▲ +0.2 PT MONTHLY  |  AUG 2025-JUL 2026

Source: Statistics Canada, Consumer Price Index, monthly releases.  |  hdq.ca

CANADA CPI: HEADLINE VS EX-GASOLINE 3.0% ▲ +0.2pp MONTHLY, Y/Y  |  JAN-JUL 2026

Source: Statistics Canada, The Daily, monthly CPI releases, Jan-Aug 2026.  |  hdq.ca

BOC OVERNIGHT RATE TARGET 2.25% HELD SIX STRAIGHT MEETINGS PER DECISION  |  APR 2024 TO JUL 2026

Source: Bank of Canada rate announcement history, April 2024 to July 2026.  |  hdq.ca

BOC OVERNIGHT RATE: JUL 2023 TO JUL 2026 2.25% ◆ SIXTH HOLD EACH DECISION  |  SINCE PEAK

Source: Bank of Canada rate decisions, Jul. 2023 to Jul. 2026; Government of Canada 10 year yield, Aug. 13, 2026.  |  hdq.ca

POLICY AND INFLATION COMPARISON 2.10% ▼ CA CORE 5YR LOW CANADA VS US  |  AUGUST 2026

Source: Bank of Canada, Statistics Canada, US Bureau of Labor Statistics, Investing.com.  |  hdq.ca

CANADA VS US KEY RATES 3.75% ▲ GOC 10Y AS OF AUGUST 11 2026

Source: Bank of Canada, US Federal Reserve, Trading Economics, BLS Employment Situation July 2026, CNBC.  |  hdq.ca

GOC 10-YEAR YIELD 3.67% ▲ HIGHEST SINCE MAY DAILY  |  JUN 8 TO AUG 10, 2026

Source: Investing.com, Trading Economics, Government of Canada 10-year benchmark bond yield, June 8 to August 10, 2026.  |  hdq.ca

FED SEPTEMBER HOLD PROBABILITY 60% ▲ vs 33% a week prior CME FedWatch  |  Jul 31 to Aug 7, 2026

Source: CME FedWatch, via CNBC reporting.  |  hdq.ca

BOC VS FED POLICY RATE 2.25% / 3.625% 137 BPS GAP MONTHLY  |  JAN 2025 TO AUG 2026

Source: Bank of Canada rate announcements; Federal Reserve FOMC decisions via Forbes Advisor and Finder.com, 2025-2026.  |  hdq.ca

CANADA: JUNE 2026 TRADE BY CATEGORY $3.9B ▲ SURPLUS MONTHLY  |  JUNE 2026

Source: Statistics Canada, The Daily, June 2026 merchandise trade.  |  hdq.ca

MAY 2026 REAL GDP BY INDUSTRY, MONTH OVER MONTH +0.3% ▲ 13 OF 20 INDUSTRIES MONTHLY  |  RELEASED JULY 31, 2026

Source: Statistics Canada, gross domestic product by industry, May 2026, released July 31, 2026; TD Economics summary.  |  hdq.ca

CANADA: MONTHLY REAL GDP, MoM +0.2% ▲ JUNE (ADVANCE) MONTHLY  |  JUL 2025 TO JUN 2026

Source: Statistics Canada, Gross Domestic Product by Industry, monthly releases through August 4, 2026. June figure is StatCan's advance estimate.  |  hdq.ca

BOC OVERNIGHT RATE VS FED TARGET BAND 2.25% SIXTH HOLD PER MEETING  |  SEP 2025 TO JUL 2026

Source: Bank of Canada policy announcements, US Federal Reserve FOMC statements.  |  hdq.ca

SEPTEMBER FED MEETING, IMPLIED ODDS 67% ▲ +11PP HIKE PROBABILITY  |  JUL 29 TO JUL 30

Source: TradingEconomics, CME Group FedWatch-derived market pricing, July 29 to July 30, 2026.  |  hdq.ca

CME FEDWATCH HIKE ODDS 80% ▲ STEADY DAILY  |  JUL 15 TO JUL 29 2026

Source: CME FedWatch data as reported by TradingEconomics, TechTimes, Prediction Authority and Kiplinger, July 2026.  |  hdq.ca

FED JULY HIKE ODDS vs. WTI CRUDE 36% implied odds for Wednesday CME FedWatch  |  Jul 15 to Jul 28, 2026

Source: CME FedWatch via CBS News, HNGN, TheStreet, TradingKey. Trading Economics, WTI daily data.  |  hdq.ca

CANADA CPI TRIM, CORE INFLATION 1.8% ▼ 5 year low Monthly  |  Jan to Jun 2026

Source: Statistics Canada, Consumer Price Index June 2026 release, table 18-10-0004-01.  |  hdq.ca

CANADA CPI, YEAR OVER YEAR 2.8% ▲ down from May's 3.2% Monthly  |  Jul 2025 to Jun 2026

Source: Statistics Canada, The Daily, Consumer Price Index releases, Jul 2025 to Jul 2026.  |  hdq.ca