HDQ
Vol. 1  ·  No. 627
AllMarketGeopoliticalEconomyTax & WealthBehaviouralDaily Thread
Today's Briefing
Recent News
Economy The Bond Market Already Moved Before the Bank of Canada Has To
The Government of Canada five-year yield has climbed nearly half a point since late August. August CPI shows why the Bank of Canada cannot simply celebrate a flat headline number.
Sep 21 6 min
Tax & Wealth The Prescribed Rate Has Not Moved in Six Quarters. The Bond Market Suggests That Is About to Change
RRSP room jumped to $33,810 for 2026, but the more time-sensitive number is the CRA prescribed rate, still at 3 percent while the yields that set it keep climbing.
Sep 21 6 min
Behavioural The Fear Investors Report and the Fear the Market Is Pricing Have Split
AAII bearish sentiment hit a sixteen-month high the same week the VIX eased back toward its own average. The gap is a live case study in availability bias.
Sep 21 6 min
Weekend Edition The Week the Bank of Canada's Own Rate Stopped Setting Canadian Borrowing Costs
The Fed raised its policy rate for the first time since 2023 while the Bank of Canada held and floated cuts, yet Canadian bond yields kept climbing regardless of which way the Bank leans.
Sep 19 8 min
Daily Thread Gold Rose With Yields Today, Breaking the Rule That Explained the Rest of the Week's Trading
Thursday's Fed relief rally reversed within one session, and the asset that should have fallen alongside rising bond yields did the opposite instead.
Sep 18 6 min
Market Wall Street Rallied After the Fed Hike. The TSX Followed, But Lagged the Nasdaq by More Than Half a Point.
All four major North American indices closed higher Thursday as Treasury yields retreated from a 19 year high, but the size of the move split cleanly along a line that matters for Canadian portfolios.
Sep 18 5 min
Geopolitical The Strait of Hormuz Story Just Got a Second Chokepoint, and Canada Has Exposure on Both Sides
Trump says the Iran war may be nearing an end even as a new front opens between Saudi Arabia and the Houthis, with a damaged pipeline threatening 4 percent of global oil supply. For Canadian portfolios, the mechanism runs in two directions at once.
Sep 18 6 min
Economy The Bank of Canada Has Not Moved All Year. The Fed Just Did.
Seven consecutive holds at 2.25 percent look increasingly conservative next to a Federal Reserve that just raised its policy rate for the first time since 2023, and it is arriving while Canadian inflation is stuck at 3.0 percent.
Sep 18 6 min
Tax & Wealth TFSA Room Is Set to Rise to $7,500 in 2027, the First Jump Since 2024
The annual limit has sat at $7,000 for three straight years. Inflation data through August points to a $500 increase taking effect in January, a change advisors can already build into year end planning conversations.
Sep 18 5 min
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