HDQ
Vol. 1  ·  No. 502
AllMarketGeopoliticalEconomyTax & WealthBehaviouralDaily Thread
Archive
81 articles
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Behavioural
The Recession Word Is Doing the Damage
Canada's GDP contracted by a statistical hair. The word "recession" spread everywhere. Your clients' brains did the rest.
Jun 12, 2026 6 min
Behavioural
The War Premium Is Fading and Clients Want to Sell
WTI has dropped more than $20 from its April peak. Clients sitting on large energy gains are feeling something Kahneman identified in 1979. The advisor who understands the disposition effect will hold them in place. The one who does not will watch them lock in a tax bill and miss the next leg.
Jun 11, 2026 6 min
Behavioural
The Hold Clients Can't See Coming
The Bank of Canada holds again today. Research on status quo bias explains why some clients will do nothing with their mortgage even when doing nothing costs them more.
Jun 10, 2026 7 min
Behavioural
The Availability Heuristic Is Running Your Clients' Portfolios Today
Missiles over Tel Aviv on Sunday night. The TSX up 0.19% on Monday. The gap between what your clients felt and what markets did is not an anomaly. It is the availability heuristic doing exactly what Tversky and Kahneman predicted it would.
Jun 9, 2026 6 min
Behavioural
The Record-High Trap: Why the Pullback Hurts More Than It Should
The TSX hit an all-time high Thursday, then fell 2.3% Friday. For clients who watched both, the sequence matters more than the math.
Jun 8, 2026 6 min
Behavioural
The Investors Who Sold Into the Shock Are Now Buying Into the Relief
The Israel-Lebanon ceasefire is inverting the recency bias that geopolitical volatility built over three months. Advisors who understand the mechanism can stop the second mistake before the first one is even recovered.
Jun 5, 2026 7 min
Behavioural
The Ceasefire That Wasn't and the Investor Who Already Sold
Iran suspended peace talks Wednesday as Israeli strikes on Lebanon intensified. The selloff that followed demonstrated a familiar pattern: investors acting on the anticipation of bad news rather than its confirmation. That distinction matters enormously for portfolio outcomes.
Jun 4, 2026 6 min
Behavioural
The Market They Fled Is the Market They Missed
Three months after the Hormuz shock triggered waves of retail selling, the TSX sits near its 2026 high. Loss aversion drove the exits. The same mechanism is now preventing re-entry.
Jun 3, 2026 6 min
Behavioural
The Ceasefire Cycle and the Investor Who Learned Nothing
Iran's suspension of U.S. talks triggered an 8% oil spike, a partial recovery, and a predictable wave of retail selling. The research on this pattern is three decades old. The outcome is still the same.
Jun 2, 2026 6 min
Behavioural
The Reference Point Has Shifted. Clients Don't Know It Yet.
Brent crude has fallen roughly 20% from its April peak. Most Canadian investors are still anchored to the high. Understanding why is what separates a useful advisor conversation from a useless one.
Jun 1, 2026 7 min
Behavioural
The Recession Word and the Clients Who Heard It
Canada's Q1 GDP print triggered a news cycle built around one word. Understanding what that word does to investor decision-making is where the advisory opportunity lives.
May 29, 2026 6 min
Behavioural
Strong Bank Earnings Won't Calm the Client Who Is Already Anxious
When headline numbers beat expectations and equity prices still fall, the mental accounting gap between "my bank is profitable" and "my portfolio is fine" widens. That gap is where advisors earn their value.
May 28, 2026 6 min
Behavioural
The TFSA Recontribution Trap Is Live Right Now
When markets fall hard on geopolitical shock, investors withdraw from TFSAs to move to safety. The recontribution mistake is the predictable next step, and it costs them in ways they never see coming.
May 27, 2026 6 min
Behavioural
The Peace Premium and the Disposition Effect
When geopolitical relief rallies arrive, investors sell their winners and hold their losers. The research explains why, and what it costs.
May 26, 2026 6 min
Behavioural
Selling Energy on the Deal: The Disposition Effect in Reverse
When peace deal headlines send oil prices down 5%, investors with energy gains face a specific cognitive trap. The same bias that made them hold losers too long now makes them lock in winners too early.
May 25, 2026 6 min
Behavioural
The Optimism Bias Driving Energy Investors Into a Cognitive Trap
Every rumour of a deal sends oil prices lower and energy stocks higher. Behavioural finance research explains why this pattern is dangerous, and why advisors who understand it are positioned to prevent a costly mistake.
May 22, 2026 6 min
Showing 49–64 of 81 articles

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