HDQ
Vol. 1  ·  No. 689
AllMarketGeopoliticalEconomyTax & WealthBehaviouralDaily Thread
Archive
314 articles
Tag:
Tagged: stance:base-case   Clear
Coverage: stance:base case
314articles
Apr 1, 2026first coverage
Oct 5, 2026most recent
Tax & Wealth (85)Economy (67)Market (83)Geopolitical (24)Weekend Edition (3)Behavioural (52)
Market
The TSX Fell 402 Points on Base Metals a Day After Gaining 326 on the Same Sector
The composite index closed at 35,933.27 Wednesday, down 402.34 points as base metal shares reversed the same sector gains that drove a 326 point rally Tuesday, while energy names cushioned the decline as oil held near $92.
Sep 24, 2026 6 min
Behavioural
Why a Calm VIX Still Means Anxious Clients This Week
The volatility index closed near 15 on Wednesday even as the TSX reversed a 326 point Tuesday gain into a 402 point drop, and loss aversion research explains why the quiet headline number is the wrong signal for what clients are feeling.
Sep 24, 2026 6 min
Market
The TSX Hit a One-Month High on Tech and Base Metals While Energy Keeps Falling
The TSX Composite closed at 36,228.74 Tuesday, up 0.61 per cent, rebounding sharply from a September 16 low as technology and base metals names offset a sixth straight session of falling oil.
Sep 23, 2026 6 min
Economy
The Bank of Canada Has Held Seven Times This Year. The Fed Just Broke Its Own Pattern.
The Federal Reserve raised its policy rate for the first time in over three years on September 16, opening a widening gap with a Bank of Canada that has now held seven consecutive decisions at 2.25 per cent.
Sep 23, 2026 6 min
Tax & Wealth
The 2027 TFSA Limit Is Already Locked In at $7,500, and Most Clients Have Not Heard
The indexation formula behind the annual Tax-Free Savings Account limit has already produced enough built-in inflation to trigger a jump to $7,500 next year, even before the final month of data is confirmed.
Sep 23, 2026 6 min
Tax & Wealth
The Prescribed Rate Has Not Been This Flat in Four Years
The CRA base rate holds at 3 percent for a sixth straight quarter, and the loans set up now lock that rate in for good.
Sep 22, 2026 5 min
Market
The TSX Closed a Volatile Week at 35,806.65. Energy Was the Only Sector That Actually Held.
The composite fell 67.61 points Friday to cap a week shaped by the Federal Reserve first rate hike since 2023 and a Hormuz-driven swing in oil. Energy was the sole sector to post a weekly gain among the decliners.
Sep 21, 2026 6 min
Economy
The Bond Market Already Moved Before the Bank of Canada Has To
The Government of Canada five-year yield has climbed nearly half a point since late August. August CPI shows why the Bank of Canada cannot simply celebrate a flat headline number.
Sep 21, 2026 6 min
Tax & Wealth
The Prescribed Rate Has Not Moved in Six Quarters. The Bond Market Suggests That Is About to Change
RRSP room jumped to $33,810 for 2026, but the more time-sensitive number is the CRA prescribed rate, still at 3 percent while the yields that set it keep climbing.
Sep 21, 2026 6 min
Market
Wall Street Rallied After the Fed Hike. The TSX Followed, But Lagged the Nasdaq by More Than Half a Point.
All four major North American indices closed higher Thursday as Treasury yields retreated from a 19 year high, but the size of the move split cleanly along a line that matters for Canadian portfolios.
Sep 18, 2026 5 min
Tax & Wealth
TFSA Room Is Set to Rise to $7,500 in 2027, the First Jump Since 2024
The annual limit has sat at $7,000 for three straight years. Inflation data through August points to a $500 increase taking effect in January, a change advisors can already build into year end planning conversations.
Sep 18, 2026 5 min
Market
The TSX Fell 91 Points as the Fed Decision Overpowered Rising Oil
Energy names gained on crude above 100 dollars a barrel, but the broader index still closed lower after the Federal Reserve raised rates for the first time since 2023.
Sep 17, 2026 6 min
Tax & Wealth
Why the CRA Prescribed Rate Window May Not Survive Q1 2027
The rate used for income splitting loans has held at 3 percent for six straight quarters, and the Treasury Bill yields that set the next one are already climbing.
Sep 17, 2026 6 min
Behavioural
Why an Expected Rate Hike Still Triggered a 631-Point Selloff
The Federal Reserve delivered a quarter-point increase that its own projections had signalled for weeks, yet markets reacted as though it were a surprise.
Sep 17, 2026 6 min
Market
The TSX Cannot Decide Between Energy and Everything Else
Energy strength from the Hormuz-driven oil rally is fighting a three-week slide in base metals, financials, and technology, with a near-certain Federal Reserve hike this afternoon adding a fresh cross-current.
Sep 16, 2026 7 min
Market
TSX Composite Down 3.4% From Its August Peak, Even With Energy Stocks Leading the Market Higher
The index closed at 35,703.47 on September 14, down from a late-August high of 36,957.63, despite Canadian Natural Resources, Tourmaline and Suncor all posting gains through the same stretch. Technology weakness and a jittery run-up to Wednesday's Fed decision are absorbing more than energy is contributing.
Sep 15, 2026 6 min
Showing 17–32 of 314 articles

Membership is permanently capped. Admitted by nomination only. Waiting list →