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Vol. 1  ·  No. 700
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45articles
Apr 1, 2026first coverage
Oct 7, 2026most recent
Behavioural (6)Market (30)Weekend Edition (3)Daily Thread (6)
Behavioural
The Relief Trap: Why Yesterday's Rally Is the Most Dangerous Moment of the Entire Crisis
The market's biggest single-day surge in months followed a ceasefire that still hasn't actually opened the Strait of Hormuz. The psychology of relief is one of the most well-documented sources of inve
Apr 9, 2026 4 min
Market
TSX Up 383 Points Yesterday. Here Is What That Number Is Actually Telling You.
The TSX closed up 383 points at 33,620 on Wednesday -- a broad relief rally driven by the US-Iran ceasefire announcement. The S&P 500 gained 2.52%, the Dow added 1,329 points, and the Nasdaq rose 2.82
Apr 9, 2026 4 min
Daily Thread
The Bond Market Just Decided $100 Oil Is Deflationary. That Rewrites the April 29 BoC.
The S&P 500 closed up for a seventh straight session, the longest streak since October 2025 -- on a day WTI crude rose roughly 6% back toward $100, software shares sold off inside the rally, and Iran
Apr 9, 2026 2 min
Daily Thread
The Relief Rally Trap: Why the Hardest Decision Comes After the Crisis Ends
The ceasefire produced an immediate relief rally: S&P 500 futures up 2.7%, Nasdaq futures up 3.5%, oil down 14-16% overnight after Trump announced the two-week Islamabad Accords late Tuesday
Apr 8, 2026 15 min
Behavioural
The Deadline Effect: Why Today's 8 PM Countdown Is Designed to Feel Like a Crisis
Trump has set an 8 PM ET deadline tonight for Iran to reopen the Strait of Hormuz or face strikes on its power plants and bridges -- the third deadline he has issued and extended since the conflict be
Apr 7, 2026 3 min
Market
TSX Holds Above 33,000 as Markets Price Diplomacy Over Deadline
TSX is up 0.27% in morning trading, sitting near 33,196, with financials leading gains -- RBC, TD, BMO, and CIBC all advancing between 0.65% and 0.9%. Energy is broadly flat despite oil edging slightl
Apr 7, 2026 4 min
Daily Thread
Oil Fell on the Day the U.S. Bombed Iran's Main Oil Terminal
Brent crude closed near $106, down nearly 3%, on the same session in which U.S. forces struck Kharg Island, Iran's primary oil export terminal. Oil moving down on confirmed physical destruction of Ira
Apr 7, 2026 3 min
Behavioural
One Year of Taco Trades: What Liberation Day Teaches About How Investors Actually Behave
One year ago today, the S&P 500 had already fallen 10% from Liberation Day's announcement, and investors were panic-selling into one of the fastest market drops in decades
Apr 6, 2026 4 min
Market
Five Risks, One Monday: How the TSX Opens Into the Most Compressed Risk Environment of 2026
The S&P 500 is down 5.1% year-to-date as Liberation Day tariffs took effect April 2 under a new Section 301 framework. The "Sell America" trade that emerged one year ago has become a structural realit
Apr 6, 2026 4 min
Daily Thread
The Number Nobody Noticed on Friday Just Made the BoC's April 29 Decision Harder
The U.S. added 178,000 jobs in March, triple the consensus estimate, but the number landed on Good Friday when equity markets were closed. By today's open, Iran had consumed all the oxygen. The strong
Apr 6, 2026 2 min
Weekend Edition
The Credibility Gap: 5 Charts From a Week That Punished Every Reactive Investor
The ceasefire cycle ran its full course in four days. Markets rallied Tuesday and Wednesday on Trump's claim that Iran requested a ceasefire, then reversed hard Thursday morning after his prime-time a
Apr 4, 2026 11 min
Market
Trump's Speech Crushed the Ceasefire Rally. Here Is What Happened Overnight.
Trump promised more strikes, not a ceasefire. In his prime-time address Wednesday, Trump said the U.S. will "hit them extremely hard over the next two to three weeks" and vowed no ceasefire until the
Apr 2, 2026 4 min
Behavioural
The Rally Trap: Why Two Good Days Are the Most Dangerous Moment in a Crisis
After five weeks of losses and a 7% S&P 500 decline, markets have posted two sharp consecutive gains totalling more than 5% on Iran ceasefire signals, a pattern that behavioural research identifies as
Apr 1, 2026 5 min
Showing 33–45 of 45 articles
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