The jump followed hawkish Fed minutes under Chair Kevin Warsh and an oil driven bond selloff, and it happened six days before the Bank of Canada's blackout period lifts.

The CRA's July 1 update raises BC withholding to 6.14% for the rest of 2026, catching up a retroactive provincial rate change that only became law in February. Every other province's payroll tables are unchanged.

Thursday's escalation was larger than Wednesday's by CENTCOM's own count, and equity futures rose anyway. The pattern has a name in behavioural finance, and it is worth naming before the Bank of Canada's July 15 decision.

Nine of 18 Fed officials wanted a hike in June. Wednesday's oil shock just made markets believe them again, and gold's afternoon reaction confirms which mechanism is actually driving Canadian portfolios today.

WTI's jump to $74.35 lifted Methanex, South Bow, and ARC Resources more than 4% while HudBay Minerals and Energy Fuels fell over 6%, a split that says more about currency and sub-sector mechanics than about the price of oil itself.

A sanctions snapback that one specialist says may end the US-Iran agreement has already added more than $5 to WTI, and the Canadian portfolio question is whether this is a contained escalation or the start of the truce's collapse.

Governing Council's framework has been to treat war-driven energy prices as temporary, and Wednesday's sanctions snapback over the Strait of Hormuz is the toughest test of that framework yet.

A new federal benefit tied to net income joined the OAS clawback on the list of thresholds a retiree's RRSP and RRIF decisions now need to clear.

The safe-haven trade clients expect broke down exactly when the news looked most alarming, and the availability heuristic explains why they will not see it coming next time.

WTI is up about a percent from Monday's four week low after Iran's Revolutionary Guard fired on two vessels in the Strait of Hormuz, the first breach of the June 17 memorandum of understanding. The Bank of Canada's blackout for the July 15 decision started this morning, before either the attack or the market's tepid reaction to it could enter the public record.

Energy and materials led Monday's pullback in Toronto while AI-driven buying pushed the Dow to a record close in New York. Tuesday's shipping attack in the Strait of Hormuz has barely moved oil, leaving Canadian energy names to open into the same soft price that pressured them Monday.

Iran's Revolutionary Guard fired on two commercial vessels in the Strait of Hormuz hours after a one week de-escalation arrangement expired. WTI is still trading near a four month low. That gap between the event and the price is the story.

The communications blackout ahead of the July 15 decision begins this morning, the same day Iran's Revolutionary Guard fired on shipping in the Strait of Hormuz. The Bank will decide with May's inflation data, a week before June's number arrives.

The CRA confirmed the family loan rate stays at 3 percent through September, the longest stretch of stability since the 1 percent era ended in 2022. With Government of Canada yields still above 3 percent, the income splitting window has not closed.

Gold fell 16 percent from its April peak as the market priced a durable calm in the Strait of Hormuz. Monday night's tanker attack is a live test of recency bias, and it will play out in client phone calls before it plays out in prices.

Physical shipping through the strait has already caught up to what this morning's Geopolitical piece called a lagging recovery, but a fresh OPEC+ supply increase, not the August toll dispute, is what pulled Canadian energy names down today.