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Vol. 1  ·  No. 716
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Coverage: kahneman
89articles
May 8, 2026first coverage
Oct 9, 2026most recent
Behavioural (87)Weekend Edition (1)Daily Thread (1)
Behavioural
Retail Investors Are More Afraid of the Hormuz War Than the Market Is
AAII bearish sentiment sits near 40 percent while the VIX stays below 18, a gap the availability heuristic explains better than the headlines do.
Sep 14, 2026 6 min
Behavioural
The VIX's Quiet Four-Week Climb Is a Textbook Case of Recency Bias in Reverse
Volatility has risen for four consecutive weeks as the tanker war in the Strait of Hormuz escalates, yet investor behaviour shows the opposite of panic. The research explains why that is a warning sign, not reassurance.
Sep 11, 2026 6 min
Behavioural
Investors Are More Bearish and More Bullish Than Usual, and Tuesday's TSX Move Shows Why
AAII's latest sentiment survey shows both readings above their historical averages, and the TSX's Tuesday decline did not come from the headline most investors will blame for it.
Sep 9, 2026 5 min
Behavioural
Why This Week Feels Worse Than the TSX Actually Performed
Five of the last six trading sessions broke the TSX average daily swing, but two of those five were gains. What is remembered from a week like this is not what happened.
Sep 8, 2026 5 min
Behavioural
Why the TSX's Two-Day Rebound Is the Most Dangerous Data Point on the Chart
A three-session slide gave way to a sharp bounce as the same war headlines that triggered the selling also powered the snapback, and loss aversion research explains why so many investors read the sequence backwards.
Sep 4, 2026 6 min
Behavioural
Gold's War Premium Is Cracking as the Conflict Widens
A safe haven story investors have relied on for months is not holding up against this week's escalation, and the data shows exactly where the mechanism broke down.
Sep 3, 2026 6 min
Behavioural
Gold’s August Round Trip Is a Textbook Case of Attention-Driven Buying
Barber and Odean’s research on attention-driven buying explains why gold’s surge past $4,650 and retreat below $4,370 is landing hardest on investors who bought the headline, not the asset.
Sep 2, 2026 5 min
Behavioural
Why Millennials Panic-Sell Eight Times More Than Boomers
New retirement research shows younger investors abandon markets at the highest rate, just as a fresh Hormuz escalation tests every portfolio's nerve.
Sep 1, 2026 7 min
Behavioural
Gold's Quiet Climb to a 15-Week High Hid the Risk That Just Came Back
The weekend's first US-Iran military exchange in a month caught portfolios positioned for calm. Kahneman and Tversky mapped exactly why quiet weeks make the next shock feel unprecedented.
Aug 31, 2026 6 min
Behavioural
Why TD's 38% Profit Jump Moved the Stock Less Than Scotiabank's 18%
Anchoring bias explains why this week's strongest bank earnings produced some of the weakest stock reactions.
Aug 28, 2026 5 min
Behavioural
The VIX Has Not Moved in Three Weeks. That Is Not the Same as Markets Judging the Trade War Small.
The TSX closed at a record Tuesday as the VIX held its August range, even through a confirmed tariff escalation and a fresh Iran sanctions round. Anchoring bias, not calm judgment, explains why.
Aug 26, 2026 6 min
Behavioural
Two Shocks Landed the Same Week and the VIX Shrugged
Iran sanctions and Canada's trade retaliation arrived within seventy-two hours of each other. Volatility barely moved, and the psychology behind that gap is the story.
Aug 25, 2026 6 min
Behavioural
Gold's Rally Survived the Death of Its Own Trigger
The bond market move that kicked off this month's gold surge reversed within hours. The rally did not, and that gap is the story.
Aug 24, 2026 6 min
Behavioural
The Herd Has Found Its New Favourite Trade
Canadian bank shares and gold miners moved in opposite directions this week, and the reasoning has more to do with which headline landed most recently than with either sector's fundamentals.
Aug 21, 2026 6 min
Behavioural
The Certainty Effect Is Doing the Heavy Lifting in This Morning's Tariff Relief Rally
Trump paused Section 338 tariffs three hours before the deadline. The market is pricing it as resolved. It isn't.
Aug 19, 2026 6 min
Behavioural
Four Hormuz Dips Recovered in a Month. Today Tests Whether the Pattern Holds.
Investors have learned that Strait of Hormuz headlines are buying opportunities. The mechanism that produced that lesson just changed.
Aug 17, 2026 5 min
Showing 17–32 of 89 articles

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