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Vol. 1  ·  No. 689
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314 articles
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Coverage: stance:base case
314articles
Apr 1, 2026first coverage
Oct 5, 2026most recent
Tax & Wealth (85)Economy (67)Market (83)Geopolitical (24)Weekend Edition (3)Behavioural (52)
Tax & Wealth
The CRA Prescribed Rate Holds at 3% for a Sixth Straight Quarter, and the Planning Window Is Now Two Years Long
The rate governing family income-splitting loans has not moved since the third quarter of 2025. For clients who have not yet set one up, the cost of waiting is now measurable in dollars, not just in missed opportunity.
Sep 15, 2026 5 min
Market
The TSX Fell to a Three-Week Low the Same Week Oil Crossed $100 Twice
The S&P/TSX Composite closed at 35,697.49 on September 11, down 3.7 percent from its August high, even as WTI settled above $100 a barrel for the second time in a week.
Sep 14, 2026 6 min
Geopolitical
A Tanker Strike Near Qeshm Island Confirms Oil Above $100 Is Not a Blip
WTI crude closed at $102.55 on September 13, the day an Iranian vessel was struck near Qeshm, and the chain from the Strait of Hormuz to Canadian portfolios runs through gasoline prices, energy equities, and the currency.
Sep 14, 2026 6 min
Economy
Two Central Banks Held Steady All Year. One of Them Is About to Move.
The Bank of Canada has left its rate at 2.25 percent through seven consecutive decisions; the Federal Reserve meets Wednesday with hike odds now a clear majority.
Sep 14, 2026 6 min
Tax & Wealth
The Bond Market Just Handed 2026 Mortgage Renewals a Harder Number
The five-year Government of Canada yield has climbed 21 basis points off its August low to a five-week high, and the CPI print due this morning could push it further.
Sep 14, 2026 6 min
Behavioural
Retail Investors Are More Afraid of the Hormuz War Than the Market Is
AAII bearish sentiment sits near 40 percent while the VIX stays below 18, a gap the availability heuristic explains better than the headlines do.
Sep 14, 2026 6 min
Market
The TSX Fell to a Six-Week Low Thursday, and Oil Above $100 Could Not Stop It
The S&P/TSX Composite closed at 35,616.77 on Thursday, down 0.81 per cent, as a U.S. procurement threat hit Canadian engineering and infrastructure names hard enough that a surging oil price could not offset the damage.
Sep 11, 2026 6 min
Tax & Wealth
The 2027 TFSA Limit Is Already Decided, and So Is the Capital Gains Question Behind It
Inflation data already published makes the 2027 TFSA increase to $7,500 mathematically certain months before the CRA confirms it, and it arrives alongside a now-settled capital gains inclusion rate that changes what advisors can tell clients with confidence.
Sep 11, 2026 6 min
Behavioural
The VIX's Quiet Four-Week Climb Is a Textbook Case of Recency Bias in Reverse
Volatility has risen for four consecutive weeks as the tanker war in the Strait of Hormuz escalates, yet investor behaviour shows the opposite of panic. The research explains why that is a warning sign, not reassurance.
Sep 11, 2026 6 min
Market
A Blowout US Jobs Report Pushed Fed Hike Odds to 60%. Tuesday's Selloff Was Canadian Bond Yields Catching Up
The Dow fell 505 points Tuesday as bond markets kept repricing Friday's jobs report. Government of Canada yields moved with it, but the Canadian dollar strengthened anyway, and that split is the real story.
Sep 9, 2026 6 min
Behavioural
Investors Are More Bearish and More Bullish Than Usual, and Tuesday's TSX Move Shows Why
AAII's latest sentiment survey shows both readings above their historical averages, and the TSX's Tuesday decline did not come from the headline most investors will blame for it.
Sep 9, 2026 5 min
Geopolitical
The Hormuz Attack That Killed Two Sailors Is Now a Canadian Currency Story
WTI has risen 15% since August 10, most of it in the two sessions since Iran's attack on a Saudi tanker in the Strait of Hormuz. The mechanism connecting that to Canadian portfolios runs through the currency as much as the energy sector.
Sep 8, 2026 6 min
Economy
The Bank of Canada Has Held for Seven Straight Decisions, and Inflation Just Made the Eighth Harder
The overnight rate stayed at 2.25% on Tuesday, the longest hold streak of the cutting cycle. Governor Tiff Macklem says tariffs are a modest inflation risk. The bigger one is sitting in the Strait of Hormuz.
Sep 8, 2026 6 min
Tax & Wealth
Retaliatory Tariffs Took Effect Today, and One in Five Affected Businesses Say They Have Six Months
Canada's $27.6 billion in counter-tariffs landed at midnight. For CCPC business owner clients, the planning conversation now runs through federal liquidity support and the prescribed rate, not just the invoice.
Sep 8, 2026 6 min
Behavioural
Why This Week Feels Worse Than the TSX Actually Performed
Five of the last six trading sessions broke the TSX average daily swing, but two of those five were gains. What is remembered from a week like this is not what happened.
Sep 8, 2026 5 min
Behavioural
How Canada Decided Its Workers Deserved a Day
A failed strike, a legalized union movement, and a century of patient negotiation explain why the calendar stops today, and why the discipline behind it still describes good client relationships.
Sep 7, 2026 5 min
Showing 33–48 of 314 articles

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