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Vol. 1  ·  No. 689
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Coverage: stance:base case
314articles
Apr 1, 2026first coverage
Oct 5, 2026most recent
Tax & Wealth (85)Economy (67)Market (83)Geopolitical (24)Weekend Edition (3)Behavioural (52)
Tax & Wealth
The CRA Held the Prescribed Rate at 3% Again. The Window to Use It Is Narrower Than It Looks
Family income-splitting loans locked in now keep their rate for life, even as Government of Canada yields climb toward levels that could push the prescribed rate higher as soon as January.
Aug 31, 2026 6 min
Tax & Wealth
Ottawa's $7.5 Billion Tariff Relief Package: What Business Owner Clients Need Before September 8
The federal relief package announced this week interacts directly with the retaliatory tariffs taking effect September 8, and CCPC clients in exposed sectors have decisions to make before then.
Aug 28, 2026 6 min
Market
Financials Carry the TSX Through a Week That Should Have Been Rougher
The TSX pulled back from Tuesday's record close as gold miners sold off, but three more bank beats this morning are keeping the index propped up against a backdrop of tariff retaliation and a hot U.S. inflation print.
Aug 27, 2026 6 min
Economy
The 10-Year Round Trip: What a Hot PCE Print Means for the Sept. 2 BoC Decision
Canada's benchmark yield touched a two-year high, retreated, and climbed back on Wednesday's inflation data. The path says more about the Fed than about the Bank of Canada's own case for holding.
Aug 27, 2026 6 min
Tax & Wealth
Sept. 8 Is the Deadline: What CCPC Clients Need Before Canada's Counter-Tariffs Land
Ottawa's retaliatory tariffs take effect September 8 on roughly 700 U.S. products. For incorporated clients importing affected goods, the planning window is now under two weeks.
Aug 27, 2026 6 min
Behavioural
The Beat Isn't the Story: Why National Bank Fell on a 23% Profit Jump
Three of Canada's Big Six banks posted double-digit profit growth this week. Only one of them was punished for it, and the pattern says more about investor psychology than about credit quality.
Aug 27, 2026 6 min
Market
The TSX Hit a Record High Tuesday. Only Two Sectors Actually Showed Up.
Scotiabank's record quarter and BMO's 22% earnings growth carried the TSX composite to 36,957.63. Energy fell the same session as oil dropped for a third straight day, a split that matters more than the headline for concentrated portfolios.
Aug 26, 2026 6 min
Economy
Bond Yields Fell Four Straight Sessions Despite Strong July Data. The Trade War Is Winning the Argument.
Canada's 10-year yield eased to 3.65% from a 26-month high as trade war escalation overrode a 75,000-job July gain in shaping expectations ahead of the Bank of Canada's September 2 decision.
Aug 26, 2026 6 min
Tax & Wealth
The $7.5 Billion Tariff Package Rewrote Corporate Financing Terms. Most CCPC Clients Have Not Mapped Which Program Fits.
Ottawa's new support package extends the Large Enterprise Tariff Loan facility to 36 months and 15-year terms, lowers BDC eligibility to $1 million in revenue, and adds non-repayable contributions ahead of September 8's retaliatory tariffs.
Aug 26, 2026 6 min
Behavioural
The VIX Has Not Moved in Three Weeks. That Is Not the Same as Markets Judging the Trade War Small.
The TSX closed at a record Tuesday as the VIX held its August range, even through a confirmed tariff escalation and a fresh Iran sanctions round. Anchoring bias, not calm judgment, explains why.
Aug 26, 2026 6 min
Market
Gold Miners Covered for a Negative TSX Session
The TSX Composite closed positive Monday even though decliners outnumbered advancers. Three gold miners masked the gap while Linamar, Magna and BRP absorbed the week's clearest trade war losses.
Aug 25, 2026 6 min
Economy
Why the BoC's September 2 Hold Is the Least Interesting Rate Decision This Week
Bond markets price next Wednesday's Bank of Canada decision as a near certainty. The consequential rate event is three days earlier, when Fed Chair Kevin Warsh delivers his first Jackson Hole keynote.
Aug 25, 2026 6 min
Market
Watch the Loonie, Not the Index, This Week
Friday's TSX gain was narrower than the headline number suggested. This morning's currency move is the cleaner signal for how seriously markets are taking the trade dispute.
Aug 24, 2026 6 min
Geopolitical
Oil Is Pulling Back Into the Toughest Iran Sanctions Yet, and That's the Signal
The Treasury unveils its sanctions package today. The chain that actually matters runs through Beijing, not Tehran, and the market is already pricing that in.
Aug 24, 2026 6 min
Economy
Canada's Own Numbers Argue for a Hike. The Bank Will Hold Anyway.
GDP, jobs, and inflation all point toward tightening. Two unresolved events landing within days of the September 2 decision explain why the Bank moves last, not first.
Aug 24, 2026 6 min
Tax & Wealth
The September 8 Deadline Is a CCA Question Before It Is a Tariff Question
Ottawa has named the sectors and the date for Canada's retaliatory tariffs. For corporate clients in those sectors, the planning window that matters closes first.
Aug 24, 2026 6 min
Showing 65–80 of 314 articles

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