HDQ
Vol. 1  ·  No. 502
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502 articles
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Tax & Wealth
The Recession Changes the HBP Calculation
Canada's technical recession arrived the same month the Spring Economic Update extended the Home Buyers' Plan repayment grace period to 2028. The two events together reshape what advisors should be telling RRSP-holding clients who are planning a home purchase.
May 29, 2026 6 min
Behavioural
The Recession Word and the Clients Who Heard It
Canada's Q1 GDP print triggered a news cycle built around one word. Understanding what that word does to investor decision-making is where the advisory opportunity lives.
May 29, 2026 6 min
Daily Thread
The Banks Proved the Morning Right. The PCE Proved the Afternoon Wrong. The TSX Closed at the Intersection.
The day's synthesis: TD and NBC delivered the earnings the market needed. Then U.S. PCE inflation and the Hormuz MOU status together produced a closing read the morning could not have anticipated.
May 28, 2026 6 min
Market
The TSX Fell 241 Points on a False Iran Deal Report. It's Opening Higher on a Ballistic Missile.
Wednesday's 0.70% TSX decline was driven almost entirely by a single event: Iranian state media's report of a draft Hormuz MOU that the White House immediately denied. Thursday morning, after the IRGC struck a U.S. airbase overnight, oil is back up 2% and TSX futures are higher. The Dow hit a record close both days.
May 28, 2026 5 min
Geopolitical
Iran Struck a U.S. Airbase Overnight. The Ceasefire Technically Holds. Oil Is Up 2%.
The IRGC's Thursday morning strike on a U.S. airbase and a ballistic missile launch toward Kuwait are the most serious ceasefire violations since April. For Canadian energy portfolios that sold off Wednesday on deal optimism, the overnight reversal is not a buying signal -- it is a demonstration of the scenario that has been defining this market since March 4.
May 28, 2026 6 min
Economy
Tomorrow's GDP Print Is the Last Major Input Before the Bank of Canada's June 10 Decision
Statistics Canada releases Q1 2026 GDP figures Friday morning. The Bank of Canada meets in 13 days. The data arrives into an environment where the BoC has explicitly left both cuts and hikes on the table -- making the read-through more consequential than a normal quarterly release.
May 28, 2026 6 min
Tax & Wealth
The Prescribed Rate Holds at 3% for Q3: Five Quarters In, the Window Is Still Open
The CRA confirmed Tuesday that the prescribed rate stays at 3% through September 30. For clients with higher-income spouses or family trusts, the income-splitting opportunity has been available for over a year. The question is how many of them have not yet acted.
May 28, 2026 5 min
Behavioural
Strong Bank Earnings Won't Calm the Client Who Is Already Anxious
When headline numbers beat expectations and equity prices still fall, the mental accounting gap between "my bank is profitable" and "my portfolio is fine" widens. That gap is where advisors earn their value.
May 28, 2026 6 min
Daily Thread
The Banks Beat and the TSX Fell Anyway — That Is the Signal
Three major Canadian banks topped Q2 estimates and raised dividends. The TSX still closed lower. Understanding why that happened tells you what the June 10 Bank of Canada decision now hinges on.
May 27, 2026 5 min
Market
TSX Drops 471 Points as the Ceasefire Trade Unwinds and Bank Earnings Open Split
Tuesday's U.S. strikes in Iran collapsed Monday's peace rally. BMO and Scotiabank beat estimates this morning but the market is opening under a different set of assumptions than it held 24 hours ago.
May 27, 2026 6 min
Geopolitical
Week 12: The Ceasefire Trade Just Broke and the Market Is Repricing What That Means
Monday's peace rally erased Tuesday on fresh U.S. strikes in southern Iran. The market is no longer pricing a near-term resolution. Canadian portfolios need to be read against that new baseline.
May 27, 2026 6 min
Economy
April CPI Came In at 2.8%. Now the Bank of Canada Has a Harder June 10.
Inflation accelerated on energy. Core held just above 2%. The BoC said it would look through the shock. That position is getting harder to maintain as the Hormuz closure drags into its fourth month.
May 27, 2026 6 min
Tax & Wealth
What Bank Earnings Week Means for the TFSA and RRSP Conversation
BMO and Scotiabank beat estimates this morning. The wealth management surge inside those results is a planning signal, not just a market story.
May 27, 2026 6 min
Behavioural
The TFSA Recontribution Trap Is Live Right Now
When markets fall hard on geopolitical shock, investors withdraw from TFSAs to move to safety. The recontribution mistake is the predictable next step, and it costs them in ways they never see coming.
May 27, 2026 6 min
Daily Thread
The FSR and Bank Earnings Land on the Same Day. The TSX Is Already Splitting Along That Fault Line.
Oil fell more than 10% this week as Hormuz de-escalation advanced. The TSX financials fell with it. That contradiction contains the most important setup of the next 48 hours.
May 26, 2026 5 min
Market
The TSX Priced the MOU Alone. Wall Street Opens Today.
Monday's 1% TSX gain happened without US participation. Tuesday's session -- the first with both markets open since the Iran framework -- will test whether the relief trade holds or overshoots.
May 26, 2026 6 min
Showing 369–384 of 502 articles

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