HDQ
Vol. 1  ·  No. 502
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502 articles
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Tax & Wealth
The Prescribed Rate Has Sat at 3% for Five Quarters. The September Auctions Could End That.
Government of Canada bond yields just touched a 26-month high, and short-term Treasury bill yields tend to follow. The window to lock a prescribed rate loan at 3% narrows as the Q4 rate-setting auctions approach.
Aug 12, 2026 6 min
Behavioural
Franco-Nevada Beat on Almost Everything. The Market Will Only Remember One Number.
Record first half results and gold ounces sold up 23 percent were not enough to offset a miss on a single consensus figure, the same pattern that hit Barrick two sessions earlier.
Aug 12, 2026 6 min
Daily Thread
The Bond Market and the TSX Read the Same Iran Headline and Reached Opposite Conclusions
Deal-hope optimism sent the TSX to a financials-led record while Canada's 10-year yield spiked to a 26-month high on the same day, pricing the same story two different ways.
Aug 11, 2026 6 min
Market
TSX Closes at a Record 36,468 as Oil Names Surge and Barrick Sinks 6.45 Percent
Strathcona Resources led an 8.74 percent gain on rising Hormuz-driven crude, while Monday's worst performers fell on unrelated company-specific news.
Aug 11, 2026 6 min
Geopolitical
Trump's Compensation Demand Stalls Hormuz Talks Again. Oil Is Already Pricing It
A tanker attack, a Saudi refinery strike and dueling preconditions have Brent near a five-week high, right as the Bank of Canada heads into its September decision.
Aug 11, 2026 6 min
Economy
Canada's 10-Year Yield Hits a May High as Canadian and US Data Pull in Opposite Directions
A blowout Canadian jobs report and a weak US one are colliding in the bond market, with Wednesday's US inflation print next to referee.
Aug 11, 2026 6 min
Tax & Wealth
The Prescribed Rate Holds at 3 Percent. The Window to Lock It In Closes September 30
A fifth straight quarter at 3 percent keeps the income-splitting loan strategy open, and the math says a sixth is likely.
Aug 11, 2026 6 min
Behavioural
Barrick's Quarter Beat Guidance on Almost Every Metric. The Stock Fell Anyway
A two cent earnings miss overshadowed 50 percent earnings growth, a production beat and a deal that clears the path to an IPO.
Aug 11, 2026 6 min
Daily Thread
Iran and Trump Both Named the Real Hormuz Sticking Point Today. Only Oil Believed Them.
WTI and Brent jumped roughly 4 percent as Washington and Tehran each pointed to the naval blockade as the actual obstacle, a sharper claim than either side has made in weeks. Gold barely moved and the Canadian dollar stayed flat, leaving the loonie without the lift its own yield advantage and oil's rally would normally provide.
Aug 10, 2026 6 min
Market
The TSX Hit a Record Friday on Gold. Monday's Open Favours Oil Instead.
Gold miners carried the index to 36,381.23 while banks lagged on BoC risk. Monday's early tape already shows oil reclaiming the leadership gold held Friday.
Aug 10, 2026 6 min
Geopolitical
Iran Just Told the Market What the June MOU Actually Requires. The Market Priced Something Else.
Last week's oil selloff assumed a Hormuz deal was close. Iran's weekend preconditions confirm it is not, and the chain runs straight back to the Bank of Canada's inflation math.
Aug 10, 2026 6 min
Economy
The Fed's Three Dissenters Wanted a Hike. Canada's Data Made Their Case, America's Broke It.
Canada's Q2 GDP and jobs beat argue for BoC firmness. The same morning's US payrolls miss cut September Fed hike odds by half. Same week, opposite direction.
Aug 10, 2026 6 min
Tax & Wealth
Two Rates, Two Stories: The Bond Market Jumped Friday. The Prescribed Rate Did Not.
A blowout jobs report moved the five-year bond yield within minutes. The CRA's prescribed rate held for a fifth straight quarter. Advisors need to know which conversation applies to which client.
Aug 10, 2026 6 min
Behavioural
Gold's Record Week Made the Story Feel Settled. Monday Already Disagrees.
Friday's gold and oil decoupling was real. Assuming it holds without the Hormuz deal actually closing is the availability heuristic at work.
Aug 10, 2026 6 min
Weekend Edition
Gold and Oil Just Split Ways for the First Time Since the War Began
A blowout Canadian jobs report and a shock US payrolls miss sent the TSX and S&P 500 to record highs this week, pushed gold to a two-month high, and knocked Brent crude down more than 7%, even as the Strait of Hormuz shipping deal stayed stalled in Iran's parliament.
Aug 8, 2026 7 min
Daily Thread
The Canadian Dollar Just Made a Move the Bond Market Only Half Believes
USD/CAD broke to its lowest level since June on today's jobs divergence, but the five-year yield that sets mortgage renewal rates gave back most of its spike by midday, leaving two markets pricing two different stories from the same data.
Aug 7, 2026 6 min
Showing 49–64 of 502 articles

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