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Vol. 1  ·  No. 689
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314 articles
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Tagged: stance:base-case   Clear
Coverage: stance:base case
314articles
Apr 1, 2026first coverage
Oct 5, 2026most recent
Tax & Wealth (85)Economy (67)Market (83)Geopolitical (24)Weekend Edition (3)Behavioural (52)
Market
US Employers Added 162,000 Jobs in August, Blowing Past Estimates and Undercutting the Week's Gold Rally
A blowout US payrolls print reverses a week of rate-cut optimism that had pushed gold toward $4,700 an ounce, and the swing reaches Canadian portfolios directly through TSX-listed precious metals miners.
Sep 4, 2026 7 min
Tax & Wealth
The Prescribed Rate Holds at 3% for a Sixth Straight Quarter, and the Window to Lock It In Is Now
CRA's Q4 2026 announcement confirms three per cent for a sixth consecutive quarter, and any income-splitting loan set up before the rate changes locks in that rate for the life of the loan regardless of what CRA announces next.
Sep 4, 2026 6 min
Behavioural
Why the TSX's Two-Day Rebound Is the Most Dangerous Data Point on the Chart
A three-session slide gave way to a sharp bounce as the same war headlines that triggered the selling also powered the snapback, and loss aversion research explains why so many investors read the sequence backwards.
Sep 4, 2026 6 min
Market
The TSX Snapped a Three-Day Slide the Same Day the Bank of Canada Held
Materials stocks led a rebound Wednesday even as the Iran conflict widened, and the index remains within striking distance of the record it set three weeks ago.
Sep 3, 2026 6 min
Geopolitical
The Iran War Is Rerouting Asian Oil Demand to Canada, But the Pipe Is Already Full
China alone is now taking more than 200,000 barrels a day of Canadian crude as Gulf supply risk mounts, and Trans Mountain has nowhere left to put the rest of the demand it is attracting.
Sep 3, 2026 6 min
Economy
The Bank of Canada Has Held Seven Times, and Its Inflation Cushion Is Nearly Gone
Inflation has risen in three of the last four months while the policy rate has not moved since October, narrowing the gap between where rates sit and where the Bank's own target requires them to be.
Sep 3, 2026 6 min
Tax & Wealth
A Sixth Straight Quarter at 3 Percent Keeps the Income-Splitting Window Open
The CRA prescribed rate holds steady into Q4, but for business owner clients hit by the September 8 counter-tariffs, borrowing at 3% is not the planning question that matters most right now.
Sep 3, 2026 6 min
Market
The TSX Fell 0.9% Tuesday as Rate Bets Hit Financials Even as Energy Extended Its Rally
Canadian Natural Resources, Suncor and Cenovus climbed roughly 2% apiece as Brent extended its August rally, while Royal Bank, TD and the gold miners gave back ground on rising bond yields.
Sep 2, 2026 5 min
Economy
The Bank of Canada’s 0.7% Growth Forecast Doesn’t Match a 2.5% Quarter, and That Gap Explains Today’s Hold
Governor Macklem has attached explicit oil-price conditionality to the next rate move, while markets are pricing almost none of it.
Sep 2, 2026 5 min
Tax & Wealth
Canada’s September 8 Counter-Tariffs Open a Freeze Window for CCPC Owners With U.S.-Exposed Supply Chains
Margin compression from the new tariff schedule can depress private company valuations just long enough to make an estate freeze, and the prescribed rate loan that often funds it, worth revisiting before September 8.
Sep 2, 2026 5 min
Behavioural
Gold’s August Round Trip Is a Textbook Case of Attention-Driven Buying
Barber and Odean’s research on attention-driven buying explains why gold’s surge past $4,650 and retreat below $4,370 is landing hardest on investors who bought the headline, not the asset.
Sep 2, 2026 5 min
Market
The TSX Fell 373 Points Monday as the Energy Trade Couldn't Offset the Rest of the Tape
Oil-linked strength wasn't enough to save Monday's session, and futures point to more pressure Tuesday as the Strait of Hormuz conflict resumes and US rate-hike odds climb.
Sep 1, 2026 6 min
Tax & Wealth
CRA Holds the Prescribed Rate at 3% for a Sixth Straight Quarter
The family-loan rate has been flat since Q3 2025, but the corporate pertinent-loan rate has kept climbing, a gap advisors structuring income-splitting loans need to see.
Sep 1, 2026 6 min
Behavioural
Why Millennials Panic-Sell Eight Times More Than Boomers
New retirement research shows younger investors abandon markets at the highest rate, just as a fresh Hormuz escalation tests every portfolio's nerve.
Sep 1, 2026 7 min
Market
The TSX Set a Record Close Six Sessions Ago. It Has Given Back 400 Points Since
Friday's close at 36,553.92 marked a third straight down session from the August 25 record. Monday's session opens with oil up more than 3% on the weekend's Iran-US exchange, a direct reversal of what pulled energy names lower Friday.
Aug 31, 2026 6 min
Economy
The Bank of Canada Meets Wednesday With Growth Ahead of Forecast and the Gasoline Channel Reopened
A hold at 2.25% is the consensus call for September 2. The weekend's US-Iran exchange revives the same energy-price mechanism that pushed headline inflation to a war-era peak in May.
Aug 31, 2026 6 min
Showing 49–64 of 314 articles

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