Every rumour of a deal sends oil prices lower and energy stocks higher. Behavioural finance research explains why this pattern is dangerous, and why advisors who understand it are positioned to prevent a costly mistake.

Oil bounced 3-4% on Khamenei's uranium edict, but Canadian energy stocks barely moved. That divergence tells you exactly what the market is betting on -- and what happens if it's wrong.

Iran is reviewing a U.S. peace proposal. The UAE pipeline bypass is 50% built. ADNOC's CEO says normalization takes four months minimum even if conflict ends today. For Canadian energy investors, the question is no longer if the strait reopens but what the price floor looks like when it does.

Energy gained 2.3%. Mining lost between 2% and 6%. Financials dropped. Tech retreated. The index nearly flat is an arithmetic accident produced by one sector offsetting everything else. The US 30-year yield at a 19-year high is what drove the session.

Saudi Arabia, Qatar, and the UAE convinced Trump to stand down from a planned Tuesday strike on Iran. The ceasefire is alive. The Strait of Hormuz remains closed. For Canadian energy investors, the calculus depends on which scenario resolves this standoff: a deal in weeks, or stalemate through the summer.

U.S. wholesale inflation came in at double the consensus at 8:30 AM. The TSX is absorbing the number through a familiar split: energy names firm on elevated oil, gold miners lower on dollar strength, banks uncertain on which direction rates move. The Trump-Xi summit starting tomorrow is the next catalyst.

A two-week ceasefire is in effect between the US and Iran. It was brokered by Pakistan hours before Trump's threatened deadline, and both sides have claimed victory. Talks begin Saturday in Islamabad,

Brent crude closed near $106, down nearly 3%, on the same session in which U.S. forces struck Kharg Island, Iran's primary oil export terminal. Oil moving down on confirmed physical destruction of Ira

A 45-day ceasefire framework is being discussed between the U.S., Iran, and regional mediators, according to multiple sources cited by Axios and NBC News. Trump has not signed off on the proposal. He

The S&P 500 is down 5.1% year-to-date as Liberation Day tariffs took effect April 2 under a new Section 301 framework. The "Sell America" trade that emerged one year ago has become a structural realit

The ceasefire cycle ran its full course in four days. Markets rallied Tuesday and Wednesday on Trump's claim that Iran requested a ceasefire, then reversed hard Thursday morning after his prime-time a

Trump promised more strikes, not a ceasefire. In his prime-time address Wednesday, Trump said the U.S. will "hit them extremely hard over the next two to three weeks" and vowed no ceasefire until the

IEA Executive Director Fatih Birol warned Wednesday that the energy crisis sparked by the Iran war "will be much worse" in April than March, because pre-war cargo shipments that transited the Strait b

TSX up 738 points to 32,673 as Trump's ceasefire claim triggers a broad risk-on rally across North American markets, following Tuesday's 833-point surge